No More Halloween/No More Deadzone
I know it's Halloween but I feel as if we have hit the age where this Holiday just sucks. I'd like to call it the dead zone. The dead zone is simply you're too old to go to the bars/parties in costume but too young that you don't have a little kiddy to take around for an hour in the shittest weather possible to take 1,000 pictures to then come home and inhale all the candy "your kid" collected. But in honor of Halloween, let's take a gander at what costumes everyone has worn in the past:
Entering week 9 in fantasy football is typically the "dead zone" when about 6-8 people start really trying as they are in the playoffs or close to the range and or 4-6 people give up because their team is 1-7 and put up the third highest score in the league at 146 points but still lost to someone who put up the most points this week in the league at 174. So I am going to break down how our new league setup has prevented this deadzone, why these next two weeks are the most important weeks of the season, and what you should do.
League setup:
- Keepers now will be kept and count towards what round they were drafted.
- If a player was drafted and you grab them off of waivers, they still count for the round they were drafted.
- If a player wasn't drafted but was taken off of waviers and you decide to keep them; they can be kept at their ADP for the upcoming draft.
- You can only keep the same keepers for a max of 2 years.
How has this prevented a fantasy deadzone?
The reason the new league setup has prevented a dead zone is because if your team sucks you can start building towards next year. That's exactly what Kirk did.
Kirk went out and overpaid for a few players that he could see himself keeping for the next year's draft knowing he wasn't going to have a chance this year. Grabbing Etienne, RB2 on the year, for a 3rd round keeper for the upcoming year was a great start. Then trading CD (who was drafted in the first round) for Addison who is 7th round keeper. Yes, Kirk overpaid, but he's got a probable top 5 pick in next year's draft for a 3rd round keeper and a late second-round/early third-round keeper that counts as a 7th rounder. Not to mention if all else fails, he has Kyren Williams he could keep depending on ADP.
Why are these next two weeks the most important:
I believe these next two weeks are the most important of the year by a long shot. The NFL trade deadline ends tomorrow (10/31) and our trade deadline ends at the final whistle of week 10 (before the Monday night game ends). You have to be locked in, paying attention, and daily looking at roster adjustments and deciding what you want to do as an owner.
What should you do?
Evaluate your team and make a decision. Now it doesn't need to be a clear-cut tank-a-thon by any means, but look and see what you can do. What rounds and what players on my team do I think are keeper-worthy? Do I need to add players to my team and start planning for next year? Do I bail on my keepers that have value and make a push to win this year?
Do I think its a good idea if I am a top team to start pressing the bottom teams for players and get rid of your keepers? I do. Do I think if I am a bottom team do I start pressing for keepers from the top teams who don't need them this year? I do. What do you do if you're a middle-of-the-pack team? Start by thinking of your keepers for next year and then decide what's best.
Editors note: I am doing this out of the graciousness of my heart and because I hope to help people. Personally, I hate it because it gives direct insight into my own team.
Devon Achane. I think is at the tippy top of players to keep going into next year. I think because Mostert is turning 32 and Wilson is turning 30, you have the young unpaid second-year RB who probably will become the lead back on the highest-scoring offense going into next year and who I can keep as my 8th-round pick.
So for my middle-of-the-pack team here is what I am currently weighing in. Will Kyler be the same Kyler of old, if he is Marquis Brown was WR 9 last year with Kyler. Can I survive with Achane on IR for two more weeks? If I trade Achane now, I probably won't get as much compared to trading him before the draft for picks. Do I even trade Achane? I don't trade Achane before the rule of being only to keep keepers for a total of 2 years kicks in and his value goes down because people will know I have to get rid of him.
Example 1: I trade Achane. I knock on Dustin's door and say "I have Devon Achane who I think is going to be a late first-round/early second-round pick that counts as an 8th-rounder". Dustin says okay "I'll give you Kupp, Goedart, and Robinson". I say okay and prep myself for the playoffs the best that I can. This is the simple way to go about it.
The one thing that I doubt many people have thought of or are looking that far in the future like myself is: You can trade for picks.
So going into next year's draft I am expecting Achane to be a late first-round-early second-round draft pick in ADP. Now when you throw in the fact he counts as an 8th-rounder keeper, he actually could be worth a first-round pick or a second-round pick + 5th-round pick.
Example 2: At the start of next year's draft Chris rings me up and says "Hey, I love you and I love running backs. I am keeping Kamara in the 5th round and am going to throw Eckler back in the pool because of injuries + age, what do you want for Achane?" I say "Okay, you aren't keeping your first-round pick, I'll give you Achane for your first-rounder". So I could keep Jamaar and then get an additional first-round pick.
Conclusion: This will be the last time I beat this dead horse but the fact of the matter is: If you aren't paying attention and treat this as your average fantasy league you will fall behind. Things should and probably will get hectic here as you have this week and next week to finalize your team/keepers. Start brainstorming the direction of your team, start looking and finding trading partners, and or just sit back in relax if you think you are ready for this year/the start of next year. Because I will tell you right now, the teams that don't work toward a keeper/don't pay attention/don't care; will be so fucking far behind the next draft.
PS: For those who think people are just going to continue to keep their 1st and 2nd rounders, go look at the scoring leaders at each position thus far in the season. I think you'd be surprised at who people will be keeping and not keeping.
IE: Why keep Kupp and Adams, when I have an 11th-round Thelian who is a top 10 WR, and then I can draft still in the first or second round.
IE: Why keep Wilson, Higgins, or Deebo when I have Bijan and Monty as an 8th rounder.
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Because of the long write-up and because these next two weeks set the tone for the end of this season and have a huge fucking impact on next season I will not be doing breakdowns of each team. I don't want to impact what people think of certain players/give an indication of moves I am going to try to make.
Last Week's Power Rankings:
1.) Jahmarycle-on 34th st
2.) Team Wilson
3.) Njibba Please
4.) Matt Roe's a Hoe
5.) Slay all Day
6.) Christian McNastys
7.) Chicago Bears
8.) Cooper Troopers
9.) Pitts n Giggles
10.) Unsolicited Dak Pics
11.) Joint Per Reception
12.) Team Kamel3458
This Week's Power Rankings:
1.) Christian McNastys
2.) Njibba Please
3.) Jahmarycle-on 34th st
4.) Slay All Day
5.) Chicago Bears
6.) Matt Row's a Hoe
7.) Team Wilson
8.) Pitts n Giggles
9.) Unsolicited Dak Pics
10.) Joint Per Reception
11.) Cooper Troopers
12.) Team Kamel3458
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~ My Brain
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